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Dorian Finney-Smith

Dorian Finney-Smith Points
Player Prop - 1/20/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat

Dorian Finney-Smith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-106/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dorian Finney-Smith has successfully made 41.1% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 8.9% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year.

Dorian Finney-Smith has averaged 30.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been very successful at getting to the foul line: 2nd-best in the NBA this year, drawing 26.4 free throw attempts per game.

The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to their opposition this year (which can also provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Heat is a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a colossal 20.7 free throws per game this year (most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dorian Finney-Smith has converted just 38.5% of his shot attempts from the field this year, a sizeable decrease from his 47.7 rate last year.

The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one for threes; opposing squads have totaled the 4th-least 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (13.3).

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league this year.

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Heat.

More Dorian Finney-Smith Player Props

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