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Dorian Finney-Smith

Dorian Finney-Smith Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/19/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Dorian Finney-Smith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +155 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dorian Finney-Smith has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 5.5 more than he's averaged overall this season at home.

The Lakers check in as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on three-pointers (5th-highest in the league) against the Nuggets, making this a favorable matchup.

The Lakers are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Dorian Finney-Smith ought to see a rise in efficiency in all facets of the game considering holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dorian Finney-Smith has attempted and missed 4.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's missed from downtown over the course of the season.

Dorian Finney-Smith has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (78th percentile).

The 7th-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

The Lakers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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