Donovan Mitchell Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Rebounds

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has put up 2.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.5 more than he's put up over the course of the season at home.
Among all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell comes in at the 98th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 36.6 minutes per game this year.
The Cavaliers are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Bucks).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers rank 3rdbest in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Donovan Mitchell will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually increases player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
The most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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