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Donovan Mitchell

Donovan Mitchell Points
Player Prop - 2/2/2025

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Dallas Mavericks

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Donovan Mitchell has logged 29.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's logged overall this year.

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 10.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Donovan Mitchell has played 30.8 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

In regard to scoring, the Cavaliers's excellent 121.8 points per game as the home team rates strongest in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a favorable one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Dante Exum is a hard one for shots from the field; when defending opposing starting SGs since the start of last season, they have made a measly 43.3% of their field goal attempts (23rd percentile).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 6thworst in in the league on their home court with a mere 9.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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