Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 22, 2024 11:28 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have put up 20.2 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, making this a positive matchup for offensive performance.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from home, the Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Magic may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 5.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games (30th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely see a decline in plays today from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Magic).
As a team, the Cleveland Cavaliers have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe while at home: 2nd-worst in the league this year, tallying a measly 19.8 free throw attempts per game.

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