Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell slots into the 99th percentile for field goal attempts, registering 20.8 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell ranks in the 97th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 35.5 minutes per game this year.
In regard to scoring, the Cleveland Cavaliers's remarkable 120.0 points per game settles in as the 6th-highest in the league over the last 10 games.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 21.7 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Bucks, labeling this as a favorable matchup for offensive performance.
The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely get a boost in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.1 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season on the road.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA as the road team this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 8thworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with a mere 10.1 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have secured 12.2 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (preserving possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense).
Donovan Mitchell will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player production across the board.