Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:35 AM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-157/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -157.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell measures in the 99th percentile for field goal attempts, tallying 21.3 per game this year.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 10.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.
Among all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell comes in at the 98th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 36.6 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a favorable one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (21.7).
The Cavaliers are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Bucks).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Cavaliers check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while on their home court this year.
The most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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