Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Utah Jazz · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 11:18 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jazz have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which should boost opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have attempted 18.6 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Jazz, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

In terms of offense, the Cavaliers's subpar 112.5 points per game on their home court rates 7th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Cavaliers.
The Jazz have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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