Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 2:48 AM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 99th percentile for shots, posting 21.7 per game this year.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.3 threes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has averaged 36.3 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
When it comes to three-pointers, the Cleveland Cavaliers's excellent 36.5% rate of drained threes playing at home places 8th-most in the league this year.
The 10th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Cavaliers.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has accumulated 0.0 technical fouls per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled when it comes to technicals.
The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers is a tough one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs since the start of last season (14.9).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.8 free throws per game (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.