Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Nov 3, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 10:53 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell comes in at the 99th percentile for shots, registering 20.7 per game since the start of last season.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.3 treys per game when playing on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has played 35.6 minutes per game while playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Cavaliers rank as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA as the visting team since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Indiana is a good one; when the Indiana Pacers are on the road, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs since the start of last season (20.1).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game while at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has collected 12.1 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) against the Pacers (lengthening possessions that can bring about extra opportunities for offense).
Donovan Mitchell figures to see a decline in performance across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.