Donovan Mitchell Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Made 3 Point Shots

New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 21, 2023

Updated Apr 21, 2023 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has made 46.6% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 9.3% higher than he's made from three over the course of the year.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 35.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 97th percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court.
The matchup vs. New York is a good one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 27th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 23 games when the Knicks have the home court advantage (7.1).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year.
The Knicks have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsens player production in all stat categories.