Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2024

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 22, 2024

Updated Jan 22, 2024 11:52 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has put up 7.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's put up overall this year.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell ranks in the 97th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 35.7 minutes per game this year.
While at home, the Magic have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 0.1 higher than he's tallied overall this season on the road.
The 6th-least up-tempo tempo away team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from squaring off against the most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Magic).
The Cavaliers check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell should experience a decrease in output in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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