Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 12:27 AM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-128/-101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has posted 5.3 assists per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard.
Donovan Mitchell has averaged 35.2 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 96th percentile.
The Cavaliers are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 8th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 7 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
Since the start of last season when they are at home, the other team has grabbed 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers (saving possessions that can spark added opportunities for offense).

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