Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Nov 3, 2023

Updated Nov 4, 2023 2:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has compiled 4.6 assists per game playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's best by this standard.
Donovan Mitchell has played 35.6 minutes per game while playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year (the Pacers).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game while at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has collected 12.1 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) against the Pacers (lengthening possessions that can bring about extra opportunities for offense).
Donovan Mitchell figures to see a decline in performance across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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