Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 21, 2023

Updated Apr 21, 2023 5:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has put up 6.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's put up overall this year.
Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 35.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 97th percentile.
The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year.
The Knicks have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsens player production in all stat categories.

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