Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+116/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -142 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 4.7 assists per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 34.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Cavaliers.
Donovan Mitchell will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally raises player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Pacers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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