Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 1, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 2:46 AM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has compiled 5.4 assists per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 33.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Cavaliers.
With the home court advantage, the Celtics have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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