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Donovan Mitchell

Donovan Mitchell Assists
Player Prop - 3/1/2023

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers

 
 
 
Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Donovan Mitchell has compiled 5.4 assists per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
  • Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 33.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Donovan Mitchell has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.
  • The Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Cavaliers.
  • With the home court advantage, the Celtics have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
  • Donovan Mitchell will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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