Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Feb 24, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 3:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has totaled 5.4 assists per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders in this category.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 33.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 92nd percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games when playing away from home.
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Cavaliers.
While at home, the Hawks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player production across the board.

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