Domantas Sabonis Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Domantas Sabonis

NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Domantas Sabonis has totaled 9.5 defensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 100th percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis registers in the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 34.8 minutes per game while on the road this year.
The 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings.
When playing at home, the Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Domantas Sabonis has committed 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's committed overall this season.
The Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
The Kings have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Domantas Sabonis ought to see a decline in effectiveness across the board considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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