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Domantas Sabonis

Domantas Sabonis Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis comes in at the 93rd percentile for shots scored when playing at home, compiling a monstrous 7.9 per game this year.
  • Domantas Sabonis has tallied 35.4 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
  • The rate of shots from downtown sunk against Bam Adebayo has been quite high (47.6%) when facing fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
  • The 9th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Kings.
  • The Sacramento Kings rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis rates in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 3.5 fouls per game this year.
  • With respect to 3-point attempts, the 5th-least aggressive team in the league when playing at home this year has been the Sacramento Kings.
  • The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Sacramento Kings.
  • The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Bam Adebayo has been quite low this year (2.6 free throw attempts per game: 23rd percentile).

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