Domantas Sabonis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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Domantas Sabonis

NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 3:24 AM EST

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis rates in the 94th percentile for shots from the field made, logging a colossal 8.2 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis comes in at the 95th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 35.3 minutes per game at home this year.
The Kings will likely get a boost in possessions today from competing against the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).
The Kings rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Brandon Clarke is a positive one for getting to the foul line; when Clarke is on the visiting team fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 4.5 free throws per game (90th percentile).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis ranks in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 3.1 fouls per game playing at home this year.
The Kings have been the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA as the home team this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.
The faceoff with Brandon Clarke slots into the 7th percentile with the other side's starting Cs scoring just 15.0% of their 3-point shots this year when they are at home.
The Kings have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.

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