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Domantas Sabonis

Domantas Sabonis Points
Player Prop - 12/16/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets

Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+104/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Domantas Sabonis has attempted 14.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.5 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 51.9% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 9.1% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.

Domantas Sabonis has averaged 34.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

The Kings check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Sacramento Kings.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Domantas Sabonis has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 0.9 shots from downtown per game (4th percentile).

The 6th-most lethargic pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

The Sacramento Kings have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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