Domantas Sabonis Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2024

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Domantas Sabonis

NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 16, 2024

Updated Dec 17, 2024 3:09 AM EST

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+104/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Domantas Sabonis has attempted 14.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.5 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.
Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 51.9% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 9.1% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.
Domantas Sabonis has averaged 34.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Kings check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Sacramento Kings.

Favors Under

Domantas Sabonis has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 0.9 shots from downtown per game (4th percentile).
The 6th-most lethargic pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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