Domantas Sabonis Points - Player Prop Bet 11/13/2024

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Domantas Sabonis

NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 13, 2024

Updated Nov 14, 2024 3:09 AM EST

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Domantas Sabonis has scored 20.7 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 89th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis measures in the 93rd percentile for scoring efficiency while playing at home with a superb 74.8% rate this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis rates in the 97th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 36.9 minutes per game this year.
The number of points compiled against Jusuf Nurkic has been very high (23.3 per game) when he is playing on the road and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (97th percentile).
With respect to drawing fouls, the Kings's fantastic 29.0 foul shot attempts per game as the home team ranks 2nd-best in the league this year.

Favors Under

Domantas Sabonis has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game this year, a significant increase from his 3.1 fouls per game last year.
The Kings have played at the 10th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA playing at home this year.
The Suns have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should reduce plays for the Sacramento Kings.
The Kings have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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