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Domantas Sabonis

Domantas Sabonis Points
Player Prop - 2/14/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Domantas Sabonis has sunk 68.9% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 6.4% higher than he's made overall this year.
  • Domantas Sabonis has averaged 35.6 minutes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
  • The Kings have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road.
  • Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has shot 33.2% on three-pointers (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, designating this as a challenging matchup.
  • The number of threes converted against Nikola Jokic has been quite high (0.8 per game) when he is at home and facing fellow starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis lands in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 3.1 fouls per game while on the road this year.
  • The Kings are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
  • With the home court advantage, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Nikola Jokic has been remarkably low this year (2.2 foul shot attempts per game when they have the home court advantage: 11th percentile).

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