Domantas Sabonis Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2024

NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 11, 2024

Updated Feb 12, 2024 4:06 AM EST

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Domantas Sabonis has made 56.9% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 10.9% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season.
Domantas Sabonis has played 35.2 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
With respect to scoring, the Kings's exceptional 124.2 points per game settles in as the 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have put up 107.7 points per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, creating a tough matchup for offensive productivity.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis ranks in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 3.1 fouls per game while on the road this year.
The matchup against Chet Holmgren is a difficult one for threes; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have finished with a mere 0.4 threes per game (7th percentile).
The Thunder have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease possessions for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing squads have grabbed 12.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (continuing possessions that can produce bonus opportunities for offense).