Domantas Sabonis Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2024

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Domantas Sabonis

NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 3, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 2:41 AM EST

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 63.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 17.5% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.
Domantas Sabonis has tallied 35.1 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The matchup vs. Nikola Vucevic is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 2.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game (97th percentile).
The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Domantas Sabonis has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Sacramento Kings will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Bulls).
In contrast to last season's 73.9% rate, Domantas Sabonis's free-throw prowess has been reduced this season to 64.8%.
Domantas Sabonis will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to decrease stat production in all facets of the game.

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