Domantas Sabonis Points - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 12:47 AM EST

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 72.7% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 25.2% more than he's made over the course of the year.
Out of all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis comes in at the 95th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 35.1 minutes per game away from home this year.
This year, opposing teams have tallied 28.6 three attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers, resulting in a challenging matchup.
The Kings are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from facing the quickest tempo home team in the league this year (the Pacers).
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Domantas Sabonis has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (98th percentile).
The number of shot attempts from the field against Myles Turner has been very low (8.6 per game) when playing at home and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
Over the last 25 games when they are away from home, opposing clubs have brought down 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Pacers (preserving possessions that can lead to added chances for offense).
Domantas Sabonis has made a measly 64.2% of his free throw attempts this year, significantly lower than his 73.9 mark last year.
As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been poor at drawing fouls recently: 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, totaling a measly 20.4 foul shots per game.