Domantas Sabonis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Domantas Sabonis

NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Points

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+105/+180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 100.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 42.2% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season away from his home court.
Domantas Sabonis has tallied 35.0 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Kings rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Domantas Sabonis has committed 4.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's committed overall this year.
This matchup is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are at home, their opposition has totaled the most three-point shots per game in the league against them this year (14.0).
The clash with Bam Adebayo measures in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs scoring only 11.6 points per game this year.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Kings.
Compared to last year's 73.9% rate, Domantas Sabonis's foul-shot prowess has decreased this year to 64.2%.

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