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Domantas Sabonis

Domantas Sabonis Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2024

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+105/+180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 100.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 42.2% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season away from his home court.
  • Domantas Sabonis has tallied 35.0 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
  • The Kings rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • While on their home court, the Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Domantas Sabonis has committed 4.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's committed overall this year.
  • This matchup is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are at home, their opposition has totaled the most three-point shots per game in the league against them this year (14.0).
  • The clash with Bam Adebayo measures in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs scoring only 11.6 points per game this year.
  • The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Kings.
  • Compared to last year's 73.9% rate, Domantas Sabonis's foul-shot prowess has decreased this year to 64.2%.

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