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Domantas Sabonis

Domantas Sabonis Points
Player Prop - 11/17/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Domantas Sabonis has converted 75.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 32.1% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year while playing on the road.
  • Out of all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis places in the 89th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 33.4 minutes per game this year.
  • The matchup vs. San Antonio is a favorable one; when the Spurs have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting Cs this year (16.4).
  • The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Kings.
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 6thbest in in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Domantas Sabonis has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
  • The 6th-most lethargic pace away team in the league this year has been the Sacramento Kings.
  • This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have nabbed 12.2 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Spurs (retaining possessions that can lead to extra opportunities for offense).
  • Relative to last season's 73.9% clip, Domantas Sabonis's foul-shot proficiency has fallen this season to 61.4%.
  • As a team, the Kings have been poor at getting to the foul line while on the road: 7th-worst in the league this year, drawing a mere 19.8 free throw attempts per game.

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