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Domantas Sabonis

Domantas Sabonis Points
Player Prop - 4/17/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors

Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Domantas Sabonis has converted 56.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games at home, 9.4% higher than he's converted over the course of the season with the home court advantage.

Domantas Sabonis has been on the court for 34.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 93rd percentile.

The Sacramento Kings have been the highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup vs. Golden State is a good one for threes; when the Warriors are on the road, opposing starting Cs have compiled the 26th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (40.4%).

The Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Kings.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Domantas Sabonis has tallied 3.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (99th percentile).

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Warriors have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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