Domantas Sabonis Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 1:53 AM EST

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis ranks in the 94th percentile for 3-point performance with a an impressive 45.0% rate this year.
Domantas Sabonis has averaged 35.6 minutes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
In regard to 3-point attempts, the 3rd-most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Kings.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has shot 33.2% on three-pointers (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, designating this as a challenging matchup.
The number of threes converted against Nikola Jokic has been quite high (0.8 per game) when he is at home and facing fellow starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis lands in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 3.1 fouls per game while on the road this year.
The Kings are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
With the home court advantage, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Domantas Sabonis will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce stat production for all stats.