Domantas Sabonis Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2025

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Domantas Sabonis

NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 23, 2025

Updated Jan 23, 2025 11:00 PM EST

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Domantas Sabonis has averaged 6.3 assists per game this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this standard recently.
Domantas Sabonis has averaged 35.9 minutes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in possessions today from being pitted against the 4th-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Nuggets).
The Kings rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Domantas Sabonis has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (100th percentile).
Domantas Sabonis will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to worsen player performance in all stat categories.

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