Domantas Sabonis Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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Domantas Sabonis

NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 2:05 AM EST

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-145/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Domantas Sabonis has put up 6.1 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the league's hottest by this metric over this stretch of games: 95th percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis comes in at the 95th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 35.3 minutes per game at home this year.
The Kings will likely get a boost in possessions today from competing against the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).
The Kings rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Domantas Sabonis is expected to see an increase in effectiveness across the board considering enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis ranks in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 3.1 fouls per game playing at home this year.
The Kings have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.

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