Domantas Sabonis Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Domantas Sabonis

NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Domantas Sabonis has posted a terrific 7.9 assists per game this year, a significant increase from his 7.1 assists per game last year.
Domantas Sabonis has tallied 35.0 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Kings rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Domantas Sabonis has committed 4.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's committed overall this year.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Kings.
Domantas Sabonis figures to see a decline in production across the board as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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