Dillon Brooks Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2024

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets · Feb 6, 2024

Updated Feb 7, 2024 4:06 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+136/-168).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has averaged 31.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 82nd percentile.
The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Rockets.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Rockets.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out 10thbest in in the league while playing away from home with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has committed 3.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (100th percentile).
The Indiana Pacers have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dillon Brooks will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally worsens player performance across the board.

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