Dillon Brooks Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has totaled 4.0 defensive rebounds per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric.
This year when they are on the road, the other team has grabbed 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (losing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).
Dillon Brooks ought to get a boost in efficiency across the board in light of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Dillon Brooks lands in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 3.4 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
The Rockets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
The Rockets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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