Dillon Brooks Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2023

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 13, 2023

Updated Mar 13, 2023 10:27 PM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has compiled 1.1 offensive rebounds per game this year on the road, putting him among the best in the NBA by this metric recently: 75th percentile.
Dillon Brooks has averaged 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 5.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Mavericks have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (99th percentile).
The Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Grizzlies.
Dillon Brooks will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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