Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 2/21/2025

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 21, 2025

Updated Feb 22, 2025 4:49 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Dillon Brooks rates in the 76th percentile for shots taken with the home court advantage, logging 11.0 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks measures in the 84th percentile for three-pointers sunk at home, putting up 2.2 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks comes in at the 81st percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 31.2 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Dillon Brooks has attempted 3.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Favors Under

With respect to shooting, the Rockets's subpar 103.6 points per game while at home rates 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 40.6% on field goal attempts (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, resulting in a challenging matchup.
The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Rockets are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace away team in the league this year (the Timberwolves).
The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.4 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the league).

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