Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2025

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets · Feb 6, 2025

Updated Feb 7, 2025 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has posted 19.2 points per game over the last 5 games away from home, 4.8 higher than he's posted in all games this season on the road.
Dillon Brooks has sunk 3.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season.
Dillon Brooks has averaged 32.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Dillon Brooks slots into the 99th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 3.5 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.
In regard to 3-point shots, the Rockets's poor 34.0% rate of sunk threes comes in as the 3rd-weakest in the NBA this year.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 40.6% on shot attempts from the field (3rd-weakest in the league) against the Timberwolves, designating this as a difficult matchup.
The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-most sluggish pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Timberwolves).
The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.4 foul shots per game this year (10th-least in the NBA).

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