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Dillon Brooks

Dillon Brooks Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2024

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dillon Brooks has successfully made 2.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's converted over the course of the year playing at home.

Out of all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks lands in the 78th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 30.3 minutes per game at home this year.

The 3rd-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Houston Rockets.

The Houston Rockets will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dillon Brooks has attempted a measly 11.0 field goals per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 13.5 mark last season.

Among all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks registers in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 3.3 fouls per game while playing at home this year.

The Houston Rockets check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.

The matchup against San Antonio is a challenging one; when the San Antonio Spurs are the visiting team, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs this year (8.6).

While on the road, the Spurs have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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