Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 5, 2024 12:28 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Dillon Brooks slots into the 77th percentile, averaging a monstrous 13.7 points per game this year.
Dillon Brooks has successfully made 1.9 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Dillon Brooks has averaged 31.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 82nd percentile.
The Rockets have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Rockets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of shooting, the Rockets's lackluster 111.6 points per game while on the road ranks 9th-fewest in the league this year.
The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one for field goals; the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the 13th-lowest FG% in the league this year (40.6%).
The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.4 free throws per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).
Dillon Brooks ought to experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board considering playing away from home in this contest.

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