Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2023

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 13, 2023

Updated Dec 14, 2023 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has averaged 30.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
In terms of shots from downtown, the Rockets's superb 38.3% rate of sunk threes comes in as the 10th-most in the NBA this year.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense).
Dillon Brooks will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally raises player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has attempted a lowly 10.5 shots per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 13.5 rate last season.
Dillon Brooks has attempted a lowly 4.6 threes per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 6.1 mark last year.
Among all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks ranks in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 3.3 fouls per game away from his home court this year.
The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a difficult one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs since the start of last season (12.6).
The 3rd-most lethargic tempo team in the league this year has been the Rockets.

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