Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 3:12 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has made a whopping 51.0% of his shots from downtown this season, quite a bit higher than his 32.6 rate last season.
Dillon Brooks has averaged 31.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The matchup against Golden State is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Warriors are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 28th-highest three rate in the league this year (47.5%).
The Warriors have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which should increase opportunities for the Houston Rockets.

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has committed 4.8 personal fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 3.3 fouls per game last season.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA as the away team this year.
The Houston Rockets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 7 games when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have snagged 10.9 offensive rebounds per game (7th-most in the league) against the Warriors (retaining possessions that can bring about more opportunities for offense).
Dillon Brooks has converted a lowly 50.0% of his free throws this year, significantly less than his 78.7 rate last year.

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