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Dillon Brooks

Dillon Brooks Points
Player Prop - 11/20/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dillon Brooks has made a whopping 51.0% of his shots from downtown this season, quite a bit higher than his 32.6 rate last season.

Dillon Brooks has averaged 31.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The matchup against Golden State is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Warriors are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 28th-highest three rate in the league this year (47.5%).

The Warriors have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which should increase opportunities for the Houston Rockets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dillon Brooks has committed 4.8 personal fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 3.3 fouls per game last season.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA as the away team this year.

The Houston Rockets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 7 games when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have snagged 10.9 offensive rebounds per game (7th-most in the league) against the Warriors (retaining possessions that can bring about more opportunities for offense).

Dillon Brooks has converted a lowly 50.0% of his free throws this year, significantly less than his 78.7 rate last year.

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