Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 4/19/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 19, 2023

Updated Apr 19, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has attempted 8.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Dillon Brooks has played 29.0 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has attempted just 13.6 field goals per game this season, quite a bit less than his 16.2 mark last season.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a challenging one; when the Lakers are away from home, they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs this year (14.5).
The Lakers have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.1 free throws per game this year when the Lakers are the visiting squad (15th-least in the NBA).