Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs LA Clippers · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 2:01 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has averaged 29.0 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a favorable one; when the Clippers are the visiting team, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs this year (17.0).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games at home.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Dillon Brooks will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has attempted a lowly 13.4 shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 16.2 mark last year.
Dillon Brooks has been called for 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's been called for in all games this year.
The Clippers have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Grizzlies.
The Clippers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Dillon Brooks has sunk a lowly 1.6 free throws per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 2.5 mark last season.

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