Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2023

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 20, 2023

Updated Mar 20, 2023 8:51 PM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has attempted 7.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Mavericks have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Dillon Brooks will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually improves player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a difficult one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.1).
The Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the Grizzlies.
Dillon Brooks has converted 64.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, -13.8% lower than he's put through the net overall this year.

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