Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has attempted 7.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a favorable one for field goals; when the Lakers are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have posted the 30th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (50.2%).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Lakers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.
The Lakers have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Dillon Brooks has sunk 64.5% of his free throws over the last 15 games, -13.8% less than he's made overall this year.

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