Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2023

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 23, 2023

Updated Feb 24, 2023 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has attempted 20.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 3.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
Dillon Brooks has successfully made 3.6 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while playing on the road.
Dillon Brooks has been on the court for 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 5.6 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season on the road.
The matchup vs. Matisse Thybulle is a strong one for three-point shots; when Thybulle is playing at home fellow starting SFs since the start of last season, they have successfully made a whopping 58.8% of their three-point shots (100th percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (99th percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year when it comes to three-point shots.
The matchup against Philadelphia is a challenging one; when the 76ers have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 7th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs since the start of last season (14.8).
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Grizzlies.
Dillon Brooks will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player production in all facets of the game.