Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2023

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has attempted 15.0 field goals per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league.
Dillon Brooks has attempted 5.7 threes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 86th percentile among all players in the league.
Dillon Brooks has played 29.6 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also create new chances for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Suns have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year while on the road (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Suns may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a measly 26.1 free throws per game this year on the road (5th-least [IN_THE_LEAGUE]).
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA since the start of last season at home as it relates to attempts from downtown.
The Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Suns.

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