Dillon Brooks Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks registers in the 89th percentile for three-point effectiveness without the home court advantage with a a terrific 48.5% rate this year.
Dillon Brooks has averaged 30.4 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
In regard to treys, the Houston Rockets's terrific 39.0% rate of sunk threes places 5th-highest in the league this year.
The Rockets will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 10 games (the Spurs).
On their home court, the Spurs have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has attempted a mere 4.5 three-pointers per game this year, significantly less than his 6.1 rate last year.
Dillon Brooks has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (96th percentile).
This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 24.5% on threes (15th-weakest in the league) against the Spurs, creating a hard matchup.
The 3rd-slowest pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).